One hundred and thirty two days before the 2001 Democratic mayoral primary, a Quinnipiac poll had Mark Green with a commanding lead of 33 percent. Alan Hevesi and Fernando Ferrer were tied for second with 17 percent. Come Primary Day, Ferrer led the pack with 36 percent. Hevesi ran fourth.
At 132 days out from the 2013 mayoral primary, the latest Q poll had Christine Quinn solidly in front, with 28 percent. Anthony Weiner was at 15, Bill de Blasio at 11 and Bill Thompson at 10. When the actual votes were tallied, de Blasio broke 40 percent, with Thompson trailing, Quinn a distant third and Weiner way out of the money.
The poll that came out on Wednesday, 132 days from this year’s June 22 primary, had Andrew Yang leading the race at 28 percent. Eric Adams (17 percent) and Scott Stringer (13 percent) trailed, with Shaun Donovan and Maya Wiley at 8 percent and three others—Kathryn Garcia, Ray McGuire and Dianne Morales—at 2 percent.
History suggests that will not be how the 2021 mayoral campaign ends up, what with 131 chances between now and then for the whole landscape to change.